These seven swing states will decide the 2024 election. They’re all too close to call

With only a week until the election, we don’t know if that is the case Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States.

But that question will ultimately be answered by voters in a handful of battleground states, of which there are 93 votes of the electoral college will push both candidates over the finish line.

In each of these seven states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – neither Harris nor Trump have built a safe lead, with poll averages visible that the candidates are within two points of each other.

This means there are almost 100 electoral college votes ripe for the pickingand won’t be safe until next week.

According to the national average of polls from FiveThirtyEight, the so-called swing states have all become too close to call, despite what appeared to be stronger margins a few months ago.

Although all seven are at stakeWith average margins of less than 2 percent, Wisconsin and Nevada appear to be the tightest races, with Harris and Trump only hairlines apart.

To win the Electoral College and be elected president, each candidate must receive at least 270 of the 538 votes.

Another ten states, including Florida, also represent some degree of uncertainty, with one candidate holding a 5 to 10 percent lead over the other. Those races are definitely worth watching, despite having a likely winner. In total, these ‘noun’ states account for 123 votes in the electoral college.

The rest of the 33 states have an average margin of more than 10 points, meaning they are very likely to vote for Harris or Trump. These more “solid” victories account for 323 electoral college votes.

Current polls have Harris poised to win 191 “solid” Electoral College votes, and Trump 131. When including states that lean one way, this rises to 226 for Harris and 219 for Trump.

According to these projections (which are not final), the candidates may need only 44 to 51 electoral college votes from swing states to secure a victory.

As a result, the 93 Electoral College votes at stake are crucial to deciding this election; a fact that Trump and Harris are well aware of, as evidenced by their frequent campaign stops.

The Harris campaign was in Michigan on Monday and will remain so touring all seven swing states prior to the elections. Meanwhile, Trump held a rally in Georgia on Monday evening.

Five of these seven states are not only split down the middle, but have flipped twice in the past two elections; to Trump in 2016, and then back to Biden in 2020.

Nevada and North Carolina remained Democrat and Republican respectively, but both times with hairline victories.

It is essential to note that none of the expected outcomes are certain, although some are more likely than others. The only test of a candidate’s success is when the final ballots are counted.

There have also been cases where a state has defied expectations, such as Indiana in 2008, which favored Obama after being a solidly Republican state. However, this is rarer than not.