Experts predict the Supreme Court will likely stay out of the 2024 presidential election

Election lawyers and experts say it is unlikely the U.S. Supreme Court will hear an election case after Nov. 5, let alone cast the tie-breaking vote.

“It has to be super, super close,” Jason Torchinsky, partner at Holtzman Vogel, told Fox News Digital. “If you look at the history of post-election lawsuits, the only places where they have been successful in determining outcomes are where the vote is very close.”

‘If there is a real problem, the Court will deal with it. If it’s something that the Court doesn’t think deserves a higher-level position, then they will summarily affirm it,” Torchinsky said.

The statute says that “any action brought by an aggrieved candidate for president or vice president” will be heard by a district court with a three-judge panel. It is then “the duty of the court to continue with its docket and expedite the disposition of the action as much as possible.”

Parties may then directly request review of the decision by the U.S. Supreme Court on an expedited basis.

“It creates a kind of new route to federal court for a specifically limited number of issues raised under the Electoral Count Act,” said Greg Teufel, founder of OGC Law. “However, there are very limited issues that can be raised under that law. “So it is not a broad expansion or increase in the likelihood of lawsuits, either in federal courts or in lawsuits that reach the U.S. Supreme Court, under the Electoral Reform Act.”

Teufel noted that before an election case would be heard by the Court, “there would have to be significant and demonstrable allegations of fraud or other serious violations of law in the way elections are conducted or votes are processed.”

Both Republicans and Democrats have filed a series of election-related lawsuits in the run-up to Nov. 5, including a recent case in Georgia that found county election officials must certify results within the legal deadline despite suspicions of fraud or errors.

Joseph Burns, a partner at Holtzman Vogel, noted that Republicans could prove successful in election disputes based on the Court’s composition.

“In terms of the composition of the court, there is no question that you have six appointed Republican judges right now,” Burns said. “And these are generally people who, I think, are going to interpret what needs to be interpreted, whether it’s a state statute or a federal statute. Their general philosophy is to adhere as closely as possible to the words of the statute.”

“In that regard, you have a more conservative-leaning Supreme Court,” Burns continued. “And you certainly have Republicans who generally make these kinds of arguments about courts interpreting, for example, statutes or state constitutions in a more stringent way. So I think in that regard, given the arguments that both parties typically make, the Republicans would be better off.”

However, John Hardin Young, an attorney at Sandler Reiff, told Fox News Digital that he believes it is highly unlikely the Supreme Court could decide the 2024 election, especially given the conservative majority.

“I think there’s a sensitivity now among the nine justices not to get involved unless it’s absolutely necessary,” Young said. “There is, I think, a certain bias on the part of the Supreme Court majority to get involved if they believe that that process is being corrupted or if people are not following the rules, because the majority, I think, is very sensitive to democracy . depending on people following the rules.”

“There are so many uncertainties that we have to wait and see how things play out,” said Jeff Wice, a professor at New York Law School.

Although the ECRA sought to clarify and revise the casting and counting of electoral votes, Teufel said the law as a whole could become the target of lawsuits after November 5.

“The entirety of the law could come into question if it is used in a way that affects the outcome of the election in a way that people consider inappropriate, unfair or illegal,” Teufel said. “Both parties disappointed with the way the election is being counted could raise constitutional questions about the laws used and the process used to count the votes.”