NFL first touchdown props Week 9: Hurts so much!

First TD prop bet #1: Alvin Kamara

The New Orleans Saints faced with the Carolina Panthers and have moved from one point to seven point favorites with the news that quarterback Derek Carr is fit to play. Carr’s return will be a huge boost for the team, and he is a huge improvement from what they had under center during his injury. We should see the Saints improve, and Alvin Kamara will probably see that as well as the wideouts.

Through eight games, we’ve seen the Panthers give up as many as fifteen touchdowns to running backs. Kamara has scored seven goals this season but has had a break with just one in the past month. This is the perfect matchup against a terrible run defense, and he will score early.

First TD prop insert #2: Jalen hurts

Best odds: +650 at bet365

To take Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen hurts to open the scoring at home for the Jaguars is a value play. The Jags are much worse against the pass than they are on the ground, but that doesn’t really matter here. The reason for Hurts’ long odds is simply Saquon Barkley, with the former New York Giants RB had far fewer chances to open the scoring.

Barkley is the fair favorite, but we have to take Hurts at +650; the value is too large. This is a guy who has scored seven times this season and, most importantly, has run into the end zone five times in the last two weeks. He is in red-hot form and the threat of Barkley and AJ Brown has the defense terrified, creating space for Hurts in the red zone.

First TD prop bet #3: Courtland Sutton

Best odds: +1,900 at DraftKings

The Baltimore Ravens are justified favorites against the Denver Broncosbut the top-priced odds of just +310 for Derrick Henry to open the scoring feel way too short. Zay Flowers is next at +900, but the high price of Courtland Sutton at +1900 really stands out. He is the second shortest priced Bronco behind Javonte Williams at +1200, but much more likely.

The Ravens are great at stopping the run, the best in the NFL, while they have been woeful against the pass and lead the league in terms of yardage allowed through the air each play. With Bo Nix improving every week and fresh off career-high passing yards, he could be ready to send it out.

That makes Sutton pure money at +1,900. He leads the Broncos in red zone targets by a staggering amount with 11, while the rest of the WR corps combined for just 10. He is the man, he can be a serious threat and could open the scoring on Sunday.